The short answer is: yes. The long answer is yes...but we need alot to go our way. Lets take a look at the 11 teams ahead of us.
1. Florida
2. Texas
3. Alabama
4. Iowa
5. Cincinnati
6. TCU
7. Boise State
8. Oregon
9. LSU
10. Georgia Tech
11. Penn State.
Ok lets break down the BCS bowls. Teams that will get automatic bids assuming everything holds course.
1. Florida/3. Alabama- One goes to the National Championship the other to the Sugar Bowl assuming both win out.
2. Texas goes to the National Title if they win out. 4. Iowa goes to the Rose bowl if they win out.
5. Cincy goes to the Orange Bowl if they win out. 8. Oregon goes to Rose Bowl if they win out.
9. LSU goes to Sugar Bowl/NC if they beat Bama this week/Florida in SEC title game...we will rule them out because they will lose to Bama and only 2 BCS spots for SEC.
10. Georgia Tech goes to Orange Bowl if they win out.
Ok so that means if things hold course, which they probably won't lol we will have...
Florida-Texas for the National Title
Oregon-Iowa in Rose Bowl
Ga Tech-Cincy in Orange Bowl
Bama vs at large in Sugar Bowl
At large vs At large in fiesta bowl
3 spots available for 3 teams. The number of teams ahead of USC right now...3. TCU, Boise St., and Penn State.
Boise plays no good teams and will win out. They go to the Fiesta Bowl. TCU has only Utah left..they win out, they go to the Sugar Bowl to play Bama.
That leaves Penn st. to take the last spot, play Boise in the Fiesta bowl, and USC is on the outside looking. So what needs to change.
This weeks Ohio State Penn State game could decide it for us. Ohio state needs to win. Period Bottom line. IF that happens, USC jumps Penn state into the Fiesta bowl, and USC wins out and they get in.
HOWEVER...its not that simple. If Ohio State wins, then the big game becomes Iowa Ohio state. The worst case scenerio for USC fans is Ohio State winning out. You mite ask why considering that will help our SOS because we beat them. Here is why.
Ohio State is currently #16. We are #12. If Ohio state beats #11 Penn State, they jump to....13 we'll say, we jump to 11. If Ohio State beats #4 Iowa the following week, two bad things happen. Ohio State will jump USC despite losing to them to #8ish while Iowa will fall. How far is the question though. They will likely fall to #10 or so in the human polls, but what about the computers who love them. Will Iowa fall below us if they lose to a 13th ranked Ohio State team. Maybe so maybe not....the computers will decide.
So what does this all mean. It comes down to Penn State this week. If they beat Ohio State they will stay ahead of us and take the last bid. This is worst case scenario. Even if Ohio state is able to beat Iowa after losing to Penn state, Iowa will still go to the Rose Bowl over Penn State EVEN IF they are ranked below them, due to their head to head win.
Long story short, USC needs a Penn state loss...and/or TCU to lose to Utah. If these occur, and USC wins out, the Trojans will take on Boise State in the Fiesta Bowl. Unless, Notre Dame makes top 12...but that's for another day. Fuck the Irish. Thanks for Reading.
Can USC make a BCS Bowl?
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Quite a stretch there huh?
Haha crazier stuff has happened. This is obviously all assuming that EVERYONE else holds suit. Iowa can def lose this week, Cincy can lose. All that stuff is possible. I'm just breaking down the 3 key teams for SC. Thank you for commenting sir I appreciate it.